Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.028102 0.030212 0.032332 0.034618 0.037010 0.039437 0.042082
2025-12-21 0.023305 0.026540 0.029911 0.033673 0.037742 0.041997 0.046771
2025-12-28 0.021303 0.025252 0.029471 0.034289 0.039611 0.045285 0.051766
2026-01-04 0.019486 0.023923 0.028768 0.034409 0.040752 0.047621 0.055581
2026-01-11 0.017844 0.022630 0.027962 0.034277 0.041490 0.049408 0.058698
2026-01-18 0.016853 0.021988 0.027809 0.034807 0.042904 0.051894 0.062549
2026-01-25 0.015722 0.021098 0.027296 0.034855 0.043711 0.053650 0.065540
2026-02-01 0.014701 0.020270 0.026797 0.034864 0.044425 0.055262 0.068338
2026-02-08 0.013799 0.019531 0.026354 0.034894 0.045127 0.056831 0.071065
2026-02-15 0.012929 0.018782 0.025854 0.034818 0.045671 0.058190 0.073530
2026-02-22 0.012151 0.018105 0.025406 0.034771 0.046220 0.059535 0.075963
2026-03-01 0.011281 0.017265 0.024717 0.034392 0.046340 0.060351 0.077757
2026-03-08 0.010368 0.016352 0.023935 0.033913 0.046370 0.061107 0.079552
2026-03-15 0.009326 0.015222 0.022839 0.033011 0.045864 0.061214 0.080581
2026-03-22 0.008991 0.015032 0.022943 0.033617 0.047212 0.063555 0.084285
2026-03-29 0.008490 0.014584 0.022684 0.033736 0.047939 0.065131 0.087065
2026-04-05 0.007932 0.014023 0.022249 0.033605 0.048334 0.066290 0.089331
2026-04-12 0.007652 0.013847 0.022321 0.034128 0.049552 0.068461 0.092836
2026-04-19 0.007223 0.013430 0.022044 0.034176 0.050151 0.069859 0.095393
2026-04-26 0.006810 0.013013 0.021751 0.034184 0.050688 0.071173 0.097845
2026-05-03 0.006431 0.012628 0.021484 0.034214 0.051244 0.072504 0.100316
2026-05-10 0.006044 0.012208 0.021150 0.034139 0.051650 0.073641 0.102543
2026-05-17 0.005689 0.011820 0.020847 0.034092 0.052084 0.074805 0.104801